Vanderbilt vs Wake Forest 11/26/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Vanderbilt winning 56% of simulations, and Wake Forest 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Vanderbilt commits fewer turnovers in 29% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. Wake Forest wins 55% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zac Stacy is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Josh Harris is averaging 63 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WF -1

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